Speaking to reporters on Wednesday, Pentagon spokesperson Sean Parnell stated that internal assessments estimate a significant setback to Iran’s capabilities.
“We have degraded their programme by one to two years — at least.
Intelligence assessments within the Department of Defense suggest the impact is closer to a full two-year delay,” Parnell said, although he did not provide specific evidence to support the estimate.
The operation involved U.S. military bombers deploying more than a dozen 30,000-pound (13,600-kg) bunker-buster bombs, along with over two dozen Tomahawk land-attack cruise missiles, aimed precisely at Iran’s nuclear infrastructure.
While earlier reports had offered a more cautious outlook on the strikes' effectiveness, the Pentagon now believes the mission likely achieved its intended goals.
The evolving US intelligence about the impact of the strikes is being closely watched, after President Donald Trump said almost immediately after they took place that Iran's programme had been obliterated, language echoed by Parnell at Wednesday's briefing.
Such conclusions often take the US intelligence community weeks or more to determine.
"All of the intelligence that we've seen (has) led us to believe that Iran's – those facilities especially, have been completely obliterated," Parnell said.
Over the weekend, the head of the UN nuclear watchdog, Rafael Grossi, said that Iran could be producing enriched uranium in a few months, raising doubts about how effective US strikes to destroy Tehran's nuclear programme have been.
Several experts have also cautioned that Iran likely moved a stockpile of near weapons-grade highly enriched uranium out of the deeply buried Fordow site before the strikes and could be hiding it.
But US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said last week he was unaware of intelligence suggesting Iran had moved its highly enriched uranium to shield it from US strikes.
A preliminary assessment last week from the Defense Intelligence Agency suggested that the strikes may have only set back Iran's nuclear programme by months.
But Trump administration officials said that assessment was low confidence and had been overtaken by intelligence showing Iran's nuclear programme was severely damaged.
According to Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, the strikes on the Fordow nuclear site caused severe damage.
"No one exactly knows what has transpired in Fordow. That being said, what we know so far is that the facilities have been seriously and heavily damaged," Araqchi said in the interview broadcast by CBS News on Tuesday.
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